--- title: "A walkthrough of the segregation package" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{A walkthrough of the segregation package} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>" ) data.table::setDTthreads(1) # skip this vignette on CRAN etc. BUILD_VIGNETTE <- identical(Sys.getenv("BUILD_VIGNETTE"), "true") knitr::opts_chunk$set(eval = BUILD_VIGNETTE) ``` The `segregation` package includes functionality to calculate entropy-based segregation measures, namely the Mutual Information Index (M) and the Theil Index (H), which is a normalized version of the M index. The package also includes several methods for decomposing the index into between/within components and into local segregation scores, as well as methods to decompose differences in segregation indices. All of these methods have arguments to obtain standard errors and confidence intervals through bootstrapping. Detailed information on these indices can be found in the references at the end of this vignette. ## The basic mathematics The idea of a segregation index is to summarize a contingency table to a single number. For instance, we may have a table with $U$ units, say schools or occupations, and $G$ groups, say gender or racial groups. For each combination of unit and group we have a count, $t_{ug}$. Arranged in a $U\times G$ matrix $\mathbf{T}$, this is what the structure of the data looks like: | | $g=1$ | ... | $g=G$ | |:-----:|:--------:|:---:|:--------:| | $u=1$ | $t_{11}$ | ... | $t_{1G}$ | | $u=2$ | $t_{21}$ | ... | $t_{2G}$ | | $u=3$ | $t_{31}$ | ... | $t_{3G}$ | | ... | ... | ... | ... | | $u=U$ | $t_{U1}$ | ... | $t_{UG}$ | From this matrix, we can define $t=\sum_{u=1}^U\sum_{g=1}^G t_{ug}$, the total population size. The joint probability of being in unit $u$ and racial group $g$ is $p_{ug}=t_{ug}/t$. Also define $p_{u \cdot}=\sum_{g=1}^{G}t_{ug}/t$ and $p_{\cdot g}=\sum_{u=1}^{U}t_{ug}/t$ as the marginal probabilities of units and groups, respectively. The **Mutual Information Index** is then defined as $$ M(\mathbf{T})=\sum_{u=1}^U\sum_{g=1}^Gp_{ug}\log\frac{p_{ug}}{p_{u \cdot}p_{\cdot g}}. $$ The **Theil Index** is closely related to the M index, as it is just a normalized version of the Mutual Information Index: $$ H(\mathbf{T})=\frac{M(\mathbf{T})}{E(\mathbf{T})}, $$ where $E(\mathbf{T})$ denotes the entropy of the group marginal distribution of $\mathbf{T}$, i.e. $E(\mathbf{T})=-\sum_{g=1}^{G}p_{\cdot g}\log p_{\cdot g}$. Dividing through the group entropy has the effect of constraining H to be between 0 and 1. ## Data format For the examples, we will use a dataset built into the `segregation` package, `schools00`. This dataset contains data on 2,045 schools across 429 school districts in three U.S. states. For each school, the dataset records the number of Asian, Black, Hispanic, White, and Native American students. The `segregation` package requires data in long form (because most segregation data comes in this form), not in the form of contingency tables. Hence, each row of the `schools00` dataset is a unique combination of a given school and a racial group, and the column `n` records the number of students for this combination: ```{r} library("segregation") head(schools00[, c("school", "race", "n")]) ``` Note that in the first school, `A1_1`, there are no Native American students. Hence, that row is missing. If you have data in the form of contingency tables, you can use `matrix_to_long()` to convert them to the long format required for the package. As an example: ```{r} (m <- matrix(c(10, 20, 30, 30, 20, 10), nrow = 3)) colnames(m) <- c("Black", "White") matrix_to_long(m, group = "race", unit = "school") ``` The `group` and `unit` arguments are optional. ## Computing the M and H indices Compute the M and H indices using `mutual_total()`: ```{r} mutual_total(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n") ``` Interpreting the M is not easy, because it is not normalized. However, the H can range from 0 to 1, so a value of 0.419 would indicate moderate segregation. The second argument to `mutual_total()` refers to the groups, while the third argument refers to the units. Switching groups and units does not affect the M index, but does change the H index: ```{r} mutual_total(schools00, "school", "race", weight = "n") ``` This is because the `segregation` package always divides by the marginal _group_ entropy, and it would here hence divide by the entropy of the school distribution, which we would expect to be much larger (as there are many more schools than racial groups). To check, we can use the `entropy()` function: ```{r} (entropy(schools00, "race", weight = "n")) (entropy(schools00, "school", weight = "n")) ``` Therefore, if the H index is used, it is important to specify the groups and units correctly. For inference (discussed in more detail [below](#inference)), we can use bootstrapping to obtain standard errors and confidence intervals: ```{r} mutual_total(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n", se = TRUE, CI = .95, n_bootstrap = 500 ) ``` As there a large number of observations, the standard errors are very small. ## Between-Within decomposition We might wonder whether segregation is different across the three different states. We can compute their segregation indices manually (just showing the M for simplicity): ```{r} split_schools <- split(schools00, schools00$state) mutual_total(split_schools$A, "race", "school", weight = "n")[1, ] mutual_total(split_schools$B, "race", "school", weight = "n")[1, ] mutual_total(split_schools$C, "race", "school", weight = "n")[1, ] ``` Clearly, state A is more segregated than state C, which in turn shows higher school segregation than B. One of the advantages of entropy-based segregation indices is that these three state-specific indices have a simple relationship to the overall index. This is called the between/within decomposition: Total segregation can be decomposed into a term that measures how much the distribution of racial groups differs _between_ states, and into a term that measures segregation _within_ states. If we have $S$ states (or "super-units" more generally), where each school belongs to exactly one state, the M index can be decomposed as follows: $$ M(\mathbf{T})=M(\mathbf{S}) + \sum_{s=1}^S p_s M(\mathbf{T}_s), $$ where $\mathbf{T}$ is the full $U \times G$ contingency table, $\mathbf{S}$ is the aggregated contingency table of dimension $S\times G$, $p_s$ is the population proportion of state $s$ (such that $\sum_{s=1}^S p_s=1$), and $\mathbf{T}_s$ is the subset of rows of $\mathbf{T}$ belonging to state $s$. Put in simple terms, the M index can be decomposed into a between-state segregation index, plus a weighted average of within-state M indices. For the H index, we are dividing the above formula by $E(\mathbf{T})$. This makes the formula a bit more complicated, because the normalization has to be offset in the decomposition: $$ H(\mathbf{T})=H(\mathbf{S}) + \sum_{s=1}^S \frac{E(\mathbf{T}_s)}{E(\mathbf{T})} p_s H(\mathbf{T}_s), $$ where $E(\cdot)$ is again the entropy of the marginal group distribution. Note that $E(\mathbf{T})=E(\mathbf{S})$, because the group marginal distributions are identical. To compute the decomposition using the `segregation` package, use: ```{r} # total segregation (total <- mutual_total(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n")) # between-state segregation: # how much does the racial distributions differ across states? (between <- mutual_total(schools00, "race", "state", weight = "n")) # within-state segregation: # how much segregation exist within states? (mutual_total(schools00, "race", "school", within = "state", weight = "n")) ``` Note that $0.426 = 0.0992 + 0.326$ and $0.419 = 0.0977 + 0.321$. The results indicate that about 75% of the segregation is within states. In other words, differences in the racial composition of the three different states account for less than 25% of segregation. By using `mutual_total()` with the `within` argument, we can obtain the overall within component, but we do not obtain the decomposition by state. To do so, we can use `mutual_within()`: ```{r} (within <- mutual_within(schools00, "race", "school", within = "state", weight = "n", wide = TRUE )) ``` This is a much simpler way to obtain state-specific segregation scores compared to subsetting manually, as shown in the beginning of this section. In addition to the M and H indices, we also obtain `p`, the population proportion of the state ($p_s$ above), and `ent_ratio`, which is $E(\mathbf{T}_s)/E(\mathbf{T})$ from above. Hence, we can recover the total within-component using ```{r} with(within, sum(M * p)) with(within, sum(H * p * ent_ratio)) ``` which is exactly the same as before. The quantity $p_s M(\mathbf{T}_s)$ is itself of interest, because it shows how much the states contribute to the segregation total, when taking into account their size. By adding the between component, we can calculate the contribution of the four components: ```{r} # merge into a vector components <- c(between$est[1], within$M * within$p) names(components) <- c("Between", "A", "B", "C") signif(100 * components / total$est[1], 3) ``` Each of the four components contributes about a quarter to the total segregation of 0.426. Note that state A is the smallest state (27.7% of the population), but contributes the largest percentage (26.6%) to total segregation. Hence, the decomposition shows that it is important to look at both $p_s$, the state sizes, as well as $M(\mathbf{T}_s)$, within-state segregation. The between-within decomposition can also be applied repeatedly in a hierarchical setting. For instance, in the `schools00` dataset, schools are nested within districts, and districts are nested within states. Therefore, we can ask: How much segregation is due to segregation between states, how much segregation is due to between-district segregation within states, and how much segregation is due to between-school segregation within districts? The package provides a convenience function for this use case: ```{r} mutual_total_nested(schools00, "race", c("state", "district", "school"), weight = "n" ) # This is a simpler way of running the following three decompositions manually: # mutual_total(schools00, "race", "state", weight = "n") # mutual_total(schools00, "race", "district", within = "state", weight = "n") # mutual_total(schools00, "race", "school", within = c("state", "district"), weight = "n") ``` ## Local segregation The M index (but not the H index) allows for another decomposition, into local segregation scores. To define this decomposition, let $p_{g|u} = t_{ug} / t_{u \cdot}$ be the conditional probability of being in group $g$, given that one is in unit $u$. We can then define the _local segregation score of unit $u$_ as $$L_u = \sum_{g=1}^G p_{g|u}\log\frac{p_{g|u}}{p_{\cdot g}}$$ The weighted average of the $L_u$ is again $M(\mathbf{T})$, i.e. $M(\mathbf{T}) = \sum_{u=1}^U p_{u\cdot}L_u$. To obtain the local segregation scores $L_u$, along with the marginal weights $p_{u\cdot}$, use `mutual_local()`: ```{r} mutual_local(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n", wide = TRUE) ``` Local segregation scores are based on much less data than the full M index, so it often makes sense to obtain confidence intervals. The following code plots the length of the 95% confidence interval in relation to the size of each school: ```{r} localse <- mutual_local(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n", se = TRUE, wide = TRUE, n_bootstrap = 500 ) localse$lengthCI <- sapply(localse$ls_CI, base::diff) with(localse, plot(x = p, y = lengthCI, pch = 16, cex = 0.3)) ``` Although the relationship is not deterministic, larger schools have shorter confidence intervals. Because the M is symmetric, local segregation scores can also be obtained for groups. The equivalent definition for the _local segregation score of group $g$_ is then $$L_g = \sum_{u=1}^U p_{u|g}\log\frac{p_{u|g}}{p_{u \cdot}},$$ and, as expected, $M(\mathbf{T}) = \sum_{g=1}^G p_{\cdot g}L_g$. To obtain these scores, switch the group and unit arguments in `mutual_local`: ```{r} (localg <- mutual_local(schools00, "school", "race", weight = "n", wide = TRUE)) ``` These results show that the racial groups experience very different levels of segregation: White students are less segregated than Asian, Black, Hispanic, and, especially, Native American students. ## Inference The four main functions of the packages, `mutual_total()`, `mutual_within()`, `mutual_local()`, and `mutual_difference()` all support inference through bootstrapping. Inference for segregation indices is tricky, and the standard error estimates and confidence intervals should not be trusted too much when there is little data, and especially when the segregation index is very close to either 0 or maximum segregation. To estimate standard errors and confidence intervals, use `se = TRUE`. The coverage of the confidence interval can be specified in the `CI` argument. The number of bootstrap iterations can be specified as well: ```{r} (se <- mutual_total(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n", se = TRUE, CI = .95, n_bootstrap = 500 )) ``` The confidence intervals are based on the percentiles from the bootstrap distribution, and hence require a large number of bootstrap iterations for valid interpretation. The estimate `est` that is reported in the results has already been "debiased", i.e. the bias that has been estimated from the bootstrap distribution (which is reported in `bias`) has been subtracted from the usual maximum-likelihood estimate that we would obtain from `mutual_total` with `se = FALSE`. The confidence interval is centered around the debiased estimate. On balance, confidence intervals are preferred over the standard error because the bootstrap distribution can be skewed, especially when segregation is very low or very high. For this example, we can see that the standard errors provide almost identical coverage to the confidence intervals, as ```{r} # M with(se, c(est[1] - 1.96 * se[1], est[1] + 1.96 * se[1])) # H with(se, c(est[2] - 1.96 * se[2], est[2] + 1.96 * se[2])) ``` provide effectively the same coverage as the confidence intervals obtained from the percentile bootstrap. Whenever the bootstrap is used, the bootstrap distributions for each parameter are reported in an attribute `bootstrap` of the returned object. This can be used, for instance, to check whether the bootstrap distribution is skewed. The following code computes local segregation scores for all schools, and then shows a histogram of the bootstrap distribution for school C137_9, which has a very low local segregation score: ```{r} local <- mutual_local(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n", se = TRUE, CI = .95, n_bootstrap = 500 ) # pick bootstrap distribution of local segregation scores for school C137_9 ls_school <- attr(local, "bootstrap")[school == "C137_9" & stat == "ls", boot_est] hist(ls_school, main = "Bootstrap distribution for school C137_9") ``` For this school, the bootstrap distribution is skewed. If precise inference about this specific school is needed, the standard error should not be interpreted, and the confidence interval should only be interpreted when the number of bootstrap iterations is large. If you are concerned that your contingency table is too small to provide reliable segregation estimates, the package also provides a function `mutual_expected()` that simulates random cell counts under independence from the marginal distributions of your table. For the `schools00` dataset: ```{r} mutual_expected(schools00, "race", "school", weight = "n", n_bootstrap = 500) ``` Here, there is no concern about bias due to a small sample size. ## Decomposing differences in indices The command `mutual_difference()` can be used to decompose differences in segregation, as described in Elbers (2021). The default, and recommended method, is to use `method = shapley` (or `method = shapley_detailed`). The other methods (`mrc`, `km`) exist mostly for testing purposes, and are not recommended. Details on the procedure and how to interpret the terms of the decomposition are found in Elbers (2021). ```{r} mutual_difference(schools00, schools05, "race", "school", weight = "n") ``` This method also supports inference by setting `se = TRUE`. ## References Elbers, B. (2021). A Method for Studying Differences in Segregation Across Time and Space. Sociological Methods & Research. https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124121986204 Mora, R., & Ruiz-Castillo, J. (2011). Entropy-based Segregation Indices. Sociological Methodology, 41(1), 159–194. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9531.2011.01237.x Theil, H. (1971). Principles of Econometrics. New York: Wiley